Aditi Rawat
Michika Ozeki
14%
86%

Model: trimmed_v3 v1

ITF W15 NEW DELHI
R32 · Hard · 29 Apr 2026 · ITF $15K
Rawat 6 4 6
Ozeki 4 6 3

Key Factors

Contribution to predicted probability
Toward Rawat
  • Days Since Debut +2.6pp
  • Surface ELO Match Count +1.5pp
  • Match Count 128w +1.1pp
  • Match Count 512w +0.8pp
  • Match Count 64w +0.7pp
  • First Sets Lost 64 +0.7pp
  • Win Rate 64w +0.3pp
  • Win Rate 8w +0.3pp
Toward Ozeki
  • Game Diff Avg 64 -8.0pp
  • Opponent ELO Avg 8 -6.8pp
  • Vs Normal Clutch Matches -3.9pp
  • Deciding Sets Played 64 -3.6pp
  • Match Count 4w -3.2pp
  • Match Count 8w -2.5pp
  • Match Count 16w -2.5pp
  • ELO Diff -2.1pp
Group totals
  • Score Profile -16.5pp
  • Opponent Quality -7.3pp
  • ELO Ratings -6.0pp
  • Recent Form -6.0pp
  • Fatigue & Recovery -2.1pp
  • Activity +1.7pp
  • Data Confidence +1.4pp
  • Head to Head -0.6pp
  • Match Context -0.3pp
  • Country Performance +0.2pp

Contributions are model attributions, not causal effects. Values sum to the predicted probability's distance from 50%.

Prediction Breakdown

Feature Rawat Ozeki
Level G +0.0pp 0
Level M -0.0pp 0
Level C +0.0pp 0
Level F -0.3pp 0
Round Q1 -0.0pp 0
Tour Wta +0.0pp 0
Feature Rawat Ozeki
ELO -0.7pp 1102.5 1159.8
Surface ELO -1.4pp 1102.7 1163.0
Surface Gap -0.7pp 0.1 3.2
ELO Diff -2.1pp -57.3
Surface ELO Diff -1.2pp -60.4
Feature Rawat Ozeki
Match Count 4w -3.2pp 0 7
Win Rate 8w +0.3pp 50% 70%
Match Count 8w -2.5pp 0 10
Match Count 16w -2.5pp 2 13
Match Count 32w -1.0pp 6 24
Win Rate 64w +0.3pp 29% 51%
Match Count 64w +0.7pp 7 53
Match Count 128w +1.1pp 8 96
Match Count 512w +0.8pp 8 291