Alicia Herrero Linana
Emma Jackson
56%
44%

Model: trimmed_v3 v1

ITF W35 BOCA RATON, FL
R16 · Hard · 30 Apr 2026 · ITF $35K
Linana 7 5
Jackson 5 0
Retired

Key Factors

Contribution to predicted probability
Toward Linana
  • ELO Diff +5.9pp
  • Opponent ELO Avg 8 +3.5pp
  • Vs Normal Clutch Matches +1.8pp
  • Surface Gap +1.6pp
  • Deciding Sets Played 64 +1.6pp
  • Surface ELO Diff +1.2pp
  • Surface ELO +1.1pp
  • ELO +0.5pp
Toward Jackson
  • Days Since Debut -2.6pp
  • Match Count 128w -2.2pp
  • Match Count 512w -2.0pp
  • Matches 7d Diff Ab -1.6pp
  • Match Count 64w -1.0pp
  • Straight Sets Rate 8 -0.8pp
  • Surface ELO Match Count -0.8pp
  • First Sets Lost 64 -0.5pp
Group totals
  • ELO Ratings +10.3pp
  • Recent Form -4.7pp
  • Opponent Quality +3.3pp
  • Activity -2.4pp
  • Fatigue & Recovery -1.5pp
  • Score Profile +1.5pp
  • Data Confidence -0.7pp
  • Country Performance +0.3pp
  • Match Context -0.2pp
  • Head to Head +0.1pp

Contributions are model attributions, not causal effects. Values sum to the predicted probability's distance from 50%.

Prediction Breakdown

Feature Linana Jackson
Level G -0.0pp 0
Level M -0.0pp 0
Level C +0.0pp 0
Level F -0.2pp 0
Round Q1 +0.0pp 0
Tour Wta +0.0pp 0
Feature Linana Jackson
ELO +0.5pp 1471.2 1251.8
Surface ELO +1.1pp 1432.2 1252.4
Surface Gap +1.6pp -39.0 0.7
ELO Diff +5.9pp 219.4
Surface ELO Diff +1.2pp 179.8
Feature Linana Jackson
Match Count 4w -0.2pp 8 7
Win Rate 8w +0.2pp 55% 62%
Match Count 8w -0.0pp 11 8
Match Count 16w -0.1pp 14 13
Match Count 32w +0.2pp 28 14
Win Rate 64w +0.4pp 52% 53%
Match Count 64w -1.0pp 56 15
Match Count 128w -2.2pp 82 15
Match Count 512w -2.0pp 150 19